China Xinbao signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the Henan provincial government, and "Henan released" the news of WeChat official account on December 10th. Recently, China Export Credit Insurance Corporation and the Henan provincial people's government signed a strategic cooperation agreement to promote a higher level of opening up in the new era. According to the strategic cooperation agreement, China Xinbao and the Henan Provincial People's Government will give full play to their respective advantages, continuously expand and deepen multi-field and multi-level cooperation in the field of opening up, take various measures to stabilize foreign trade, consolidate traditional markets and expand emerging markets; Actively cultivate and expand foreign trade entities and improve the level of digital trade empowerment and financing facilitation; Expand the new kinetic energy of foreign trade development and create new advantages of cross-border trade hub services in central China; Strengthen the chain stabilization of key industrial chains and actively implement the strategy of "going out"; Deepen the construction of Henan's "Belt and Road" platform mechanism, build an overseas risk prevention and control system, jointly promote the high-quality development of Henan's foreign trade and economic cooperation, and promote Henan's high-level opening up.The yield of China's 10-year treasury bonds dropped to 1.87% at the beginning of the session, and the betting easing policy was accelerated. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 Treasury bonds with interest 11" dropped by 3.5bp to 1.87%, hitting a record low.In early trading, the main domestic futures contracts rose almost across the board, with coke and glass rising by over 5%, BR rubber and coking coal rising by over 4%, screw thread and soda ash rising by over 3%, iron ore rising by nearly 3%, and hot coil, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), para-xylene (PX), PTA, Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Tin, rapeseed meal and SC crude oil rising by over 2%. In terms of decline, asphalt and low sulfur fuel oil (LU) declined slightly.
Huichuan Technology: At present, the layout of humanoid robot industry is still in the early stage of insight and research and development. Huichuan Technology recently said that the company itself is engaged in industrial robot business and is constantly following up and exploring in the field of humanoid robots. At present, the company's layout of humanoid robot industry is still in the early stage of insight and research and development, and the parts and components under development include motors, drives and actuator modules.CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.Galaxy Securities: Looking ahead, A-shares are expected to fluctuate upward. china galaxy Securities said that since September 24th, domestic policies have been intensively introduced. The convening of the Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party on December 9 pointed out the important direction for economic work in 2025, and at the same time released a more positive and promising policy signal, and then focused on the statement of the Central Economic Work Conference. With the accelerated implementation of the stock policy and the introduction of a package of incremental policies, the economic fundamentals are expected to show a gradual improvement trend. The policy expectation of "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will help boost investors' confidence and protect the long-term healthy development of the A-share market. Looking forward to the market outlook, A shares are expected to fluctuate upwards.
Guotai Junan: Policy optimization or help improve the long-term return of the expressway industry. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that location advantage determines the return of road production, and policy optimization or help improve the long-term return of the expressway industry. 1) Expressway is the preferred way to deliver high dividends. In the past three years, the A-share market favored high dividends, and the excess returns of expressways were remarkable. The dividend yield depends on the dividend rate and PE valuation level. Expressway is an infrastructure asset with heavy assets and stable returns, with rigid demand and stable cash flow, and the high dividend policy continues, which is in line with market preferences. 2) Resilience of industry operation: In 2023, the repressive demand was released and the performance increased. In the first half of 2024, the industry was under pressure due to the increase of rain and snow and free days. In the second half of 2024, or due to economic impact, the traffic volume and profit of some high-speed vehicles decreased slightly, the traffic demand remained resilient and the cash flow remained stable. 3) The pressure of reinvestment may be expected to improve the policy. Expressway toll prices have been stable for a long time, while the cost of newly built or renovated units has risen sharply, and there is widespread reinvestment pressure in the industry. In the future, the industry is expected to optimize policies, or improve the high-speed return of new construction or expansion to a reasonable level by extending the charging period. 4) Expressway REITs: generally, they are stock road products with excellent location and stable returns. In 2023, the system was under pressure, and in 2024, the expressway REITs with better profit than the industry were among the top gainers. The performance of underlying assets in the future will still be the key to dominate the performance of REITs.Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.Bruker sprinted for the IPO of Hong Kong stocks, Bruker Group Co., Ltd. updated its prospectus and tried to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the second time. The co-sponsors are Goldman Sachs (Asia) Securities and Huatai Financial Holdings. According to Jost Sullivan's report, Bruker's market share in China's patchwork role toy market and China's patchwork toy market is 30.3% and 7.4% respectively. Bruker's toy products are mainly divided into two categories: "assembling role toys" and "building block toys", and the prices of mainstream products range from 19.9 yuan to 399 yuan. Most of Bruco's revenue comes from the sales of products based on Altman IP, accounting for 63.5% and 57.4% of its revenue in 2023 and the first half of 2024 respectively.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13